TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks receiving yardage performance for both teams in a college football matchup. Each market evaluates whether a specific team achieves a designated receiving yardage threshold during the game, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by either Florida or Missouri during the game, including any first or second overtime periods. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, do not contribute to the receiving yardage totals. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of each other, each corresponding to a specific yardage threshold for either team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the potential total receiving yards.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total for both teams will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida or Missouri, particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the passing game and, consequently, the total receiving yards. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive matchups could shift trader sentiment and move the market prices. Game-day performance and in-game adjustments will also be key drivers.