TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if either Florida or Missouri will achieve a defensive or special teams touchdown during their college football match set for October 3, 2026. It includes scores from plays like interception returns, fumble recoveries, or returns on special teams. The result hinges exclusively on these specific scoring methods, excluding traditional offensive touchdowns.
If Florida and Missouri collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Florida vs Missouri college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when complex factors are at play. However, sportsbook odds can be useful as a reference point, showing where public sentiment currently lies. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive/special teams touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a D/ST touchdown. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams unit scores a touchdown during the Florida vs Missouri football game. The result will be determined by official game statistics and play-by-play data. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and any relevant scoring plays that impact the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key defensive players for either team – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly those favoring a strong running game or increasing the likelihood of turnovers, could also move the market. Finally, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the defensive capabilities of Florida and Missouri could drive trading activity and alter the price of this market.