TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential Florida and Missouri achieve specifically in the fourth quarter of their college football matchup. Outcomes depend entirely on how the teams perform in the final period of regulation time, ignoring any overtime scenarios.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Missouri college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If Florida wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the corresponding Florida market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Missouri wins by more than the designated margin (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the relevant Missouri market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final 4th-quarter result. If play does not begin within this window, all markets settle at a fair price. No overtime points factor into any resolution determination.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but with subtle differences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the most likely outcome. You might find that this market reacts more quickly to new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, than traditional sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the fourth quarter of the Florida vs Missouri game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact the Florida vs Missouri spread between now and Oct 3, 2026. Key player injuries on either team would undoubtedly shift the odds, as would any significant changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected weather conditions during the game could also play a role, particularly if one team is more accustomed to playing in certain conditions. Major news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also influence trader sentiment and move this market. Any late-breaking information has the potential to alter perceptions of the likely outcome.