TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds, offering various levels of difficulty for forecasting early-game offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Florida vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market has a different threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities as seen by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between Florida and Missouri will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under 5.5. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida or Missouri would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the odds. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis or last-minute betting trends, can also play a role. Finally, any significant pre-game developments or announcements related to team strategy or player availability could lead to fluctuations in this market.