TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Florida vs Missouri: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

Florida vs Missouri: 1st Quarter Spread

Volume:
$111,850

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 4:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,681
N/A
N/A
$36,586
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,411
N/A
N/A
$14,601
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 3.5 points

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,595
N/A
N/A
$5,438
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,951
N/A
N/A
$4,266
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 7.5 points

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,299
N/A
N/A
$3,458
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 10.5 points

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,027
N/A
N/A
$2,660
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,022
N/A
N/A
$1,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$803
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$929
N/A
N/A
$929
Settled
No
kalshi

Missouri wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$616
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Florida and Missouri. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team within that initial 15-minute period.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point difference in the first quarter of the Florida vs Missouri college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For markets where Florida wins by a specified margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Florida achieves that exact or greater point differential in the first quarter. Conversely, for markets where Missouri wins by a specified margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Missouri secures that margin or more in the opening quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter, disregarding the full game outcome. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida-Missouri football spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $110,407. The total volume traded on this market is $111,850. This allows you to see how traders are assessing the likelihood of various outcomes and gauge the intensity of trading activity surrounding the Florida-Missouri matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are determined by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets sometimes provide a more accurate forecast of event outcomes than traditional betting markets.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Florida versus Missouri football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida or Missouri would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to adjust their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or media coverage, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual assessment rather than overall opinion.