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405,996

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Florida vs Miami (FL): Spread
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What is the result of Florida vs Miami (FL)?

Oct 30, 2026, 9:06 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$42,271
Volume 24h:
$41,064
7,481%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$37,477
3,175%

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 13h:12m:26s

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

67%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 66¢ buys you 152 shares | Odds: 67% Total Payout: $152 | Net Profit: $52 Multiplier: 1.52x | ROI: 52% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 points

Trade
67%
Yes 66¢No 40¢
6¢
N/A
$636
0%
N/A
$636
13h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 points

Trade
66%
Yes 67¢No 38¢
5¢
N/A
$7
0%
N/A
$7
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 3.5 points

Trade
61%
20%
Yes 61¢No 41¢
2¢
N/A
$1,038
1,937%
N/A
$995
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 4.5 points

Trade
56%
1%
Yes 56¢No 45¢
1¢
N/A
$8,724
10,394%
N/A
$8,632
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 5.5 points

Trade
52%
4%
Yes 52¢No 49¢
1¢
N/A
$26,403
2,407%
N/A
$21,757
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 6.5 points

Trade
44%
1%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
1¢
N/A
$2,258
2,029%
N/A
$2,246
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 8.5 points

Trade
43%
Yes 43¢No 63¢
6¢
N/A
$11
0%
N/A
$11
13h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points

Trade
32%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
5¢
N/A
$52
7,874%
N/A
$52
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 26.5 points

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 99¢
3¢
N/A
$1,756
0%
N/A
$1,756
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 29.5 points

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$2
13h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 19.5 points

Trade
2%
Yes 9¢No 99¢
8¢
N/A
$100
0%
N/A
$100
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 30.5 points

Trade
2%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$51
2%
N/A
$51
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points

Trade
32%
2%
Yes 21¢No 81¢
2¢
N/A
$778
763%
N/A
$778
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 7.5 points

Trade
1%
Yes 43¢No 59¢
2¢
N/A
$455
0%
N/A
$455
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 15.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 9.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 12.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 15.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 18.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 22.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 11.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 14.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 12m
Active
kalshi

Florida wins by over 17.5 points

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13h 12m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming men's college basketball game between Florida and Miami (FL). Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Florida vs Miami (FL) men's college basketball game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. If Miami wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market (ranging from over 1.5 to over 19.5 points), that market resolves to Yes; if Florida wins by exceeding its respective margin (ranging from over 1.5 to over 30.5 points), the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida-Miami football spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the game. You can view the trading history, including the volume of $42,923 traded and the 24-hour volume of $40,363. This allows you to see how traders are positioning themselves on the likely margin of victory. The dashboard also displays the implied probability of various outcomes based on the current market prices, offering a real-time view of collective predictions.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of the event outcome than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets aggregate the knowledge and insights of a diverse group of traders, incentivized to make accurate predictions. While sportsbook odds are often influenced by factors like public betting patterns and the sportsbook’s profit margin, this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the final result. However, it’s important to note that discrepancies can occur due to differing market dynamics and liquidity.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current price indicates the probability that the actual spread will fall within the range represented by that contract. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely game result.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Florida versus Miami football game. The market will settle based on which side of the spread the final score falls, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Florida or Miami teams would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.