TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Florida vs. Kentucky
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Florida vs. Kentucky?

Total volume:
$207
Volume 24h:
$22
86%
Liquidity:
$59
3%
Open interest:
$207
12%

Kentucky

 - Kalshi

Kentucky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:21h:03m

Kentucky wins

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kentucky

Trade
59%
1%
Yes 60¢No 48¢
8¢
N/A
$207
12%
N/A
$207
1w 4d 21h
Active
kalshi

Florida

Trade
N/A
N/A
12¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 21h
Active
polymarket

Florida vs. Kentucky

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -20.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -17.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -16.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -14.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -13.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -10.5

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -8.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -7.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -0.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -4.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -5.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
polymarket

Spread -6.5

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 16h
Active
Total markets: 25 of 106

Description

This prediction group covers the upcoming college football game between the Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets include predictions on the game's winner, point spreads, and total points scored by both teams and in specific quarters/halves.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides more detailed resolution criteria, including a tie resolution and explicit no-result provisions for game cancellation or abandonment, while Kalshi's resolution is simpler and lacks these specifics.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for clarity on no-result scenarios. Kalshi markets may be more susceptible to ambiguity if the game is not completed.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Florida' if Florida wins, 'Kentucky' if Kentucky wins, 50/50 for a tie. Resolves 50/50 if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result by that time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Florida or Kentucky wins the game. No explicit tie or no-result provisions beyond game cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Kentucky, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Kentucky wins the Florida vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins the Florida vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities associated with various outcomes for the Florida vs. Kentucky game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $207, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Florida vs. Kentucky: O/U 35.5 at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Kentucky wins at 59.0%. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and often converge as the event approaches. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and market-making incentives also differ, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform—for example, a spread versus a simple win/loss outcome—can lead to different valuations. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even when both markets address the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Florida vs. Kentucky game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official results released by the governing body of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders can expect settlement shortly after the official results are available.

Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before the game takes place. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact prices, as information flows between different markets. Any major development related to team performance or game conditions has the potential to move this market, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.