TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Georgia will win its football game against Florida by more than 5.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Georgia winning by over 5.5 points. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Florida vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Georgia wins by more than 23.5 points, with final settlement expected around November 1, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Florida vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For Georgia win markets, resolution occurs if Georgia's victory exceeds the specified point margin; for Florida win markets, resolution occurs if Florida's victory exceeds the specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional offers, potentially leading to biases. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly putting their capital at risk based on their own analysis. While there can be correlation, differences often emerge as new information becomes available or as traders identify mispricings. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially closer to the event date as more informed traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth—the number of contracts available at various prices—also indicates the level of confidence in those outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Florida vs Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by those contracts. All trading will cease once the outcome is officially known and verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are major catalysts, as are any changes in coaching strategy or weather forecasts. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, while less impactful than concrete information, can sometimes create short-term price fluctuations. As the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts will likely be reflected in the price movements of this market.