TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Florida and Georgia. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of each team specifically in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Georgia wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own assessments of the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, represented by the number of contracts available at different price points, indicates the level of interest and potential liquidity for each outcome in the Florida vs Georgia 4th quarter market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading when the final whistle blows at the end of the fourth quarter. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning team and trigger the payout of contracts. The platform will verify the result against established sports data feeds to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact the game's dynamics and alter the perceived probabilities. Live game events, like early scoring drives or defensive turnovers, will undoubtedly cause rapid price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding action. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role, influencing trading decisions and driving price movements.