TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Florida and Georgia teams during the second quarter of their college football matchup. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the Florida vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined second-quarter points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have 'skin in the game'. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a useful point of comparison for assessing the potential value in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 2nd quarter of the Florida vs Georgia game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' contract pays out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida or Georgia teams would likely have a significant impact, as this could affect their offensive capabilities. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price movements, especially closer to the game time.