TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Florida and Chicago, scheduled for October 25, 2026. The result depends solely on which team wins the match. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the outcome still counts; however, if it is canceled or does not start within that window, the market adjusts to a fair value instead of settling on a win-lose basis.
The event determines the winner of the Florida vs Chicago NHL game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Chicago wins, the Chicago market resolves to Yes; if Florida wins, the Florida market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable settlement regardless of game completion.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, though discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Florida vs Chicago game, and the price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is expected to happen, the higher its contract price will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time, creating a constantly evolving forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florida vs Chicago game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome according to the market’s specifications. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also impact the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the market’s movements.