TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Buffalo or Florida will win their NHL hockey game scheduled for October 12, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Buffalo a 99.0% probability of winning, while Florida is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Florida vs Buffalo NHL game, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on October 12, 2026, as that is the date of the originally scheduled game and will determine the market’s resolution if the game proceeds as planned.
The event determines the winner of the Florida vs. Buffalo NHL game scheduled for October 12, 2026. If either team wins the game as scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Polls and analysts currently suggest a close contest, but this market provides a unique perspective based on financial commitments. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes identify information not fully priced into traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, changing sentiment, and the actions of other traders, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for the Florida vs Buffalo game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florida vs Buffalo game. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, major betting trends or public endorsements could also impact the price of contracts. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability are likely to cause volatility in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.