TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The Florida vs Anaheim NHL game on Oct 4 will see both teams compete, with outcomes determined by the total number of goals scored during regulation and overtime periods. A shootout, if necessary, adds only one goal to the winner's total. The game's result will be official if played within 48 hours of the scheduled time; otherwise, markets resolve to a fair price if cancelled.
Multiple markets evaluate whether the combined goals scored by Florida and Anaheim exceed thresholds from 1.5 to 9.5. Each market resolves to Yes if the total goals meet or surpass its specified threshold. Goals from regulation and overtime count normally, while a shootout adds only one goal to the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential goal total for the Florida vs Anaheim game, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Florida vs Anaheim game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This process ensures a transparent and reliable outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Florida or Anaheim teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in goaltender assignments, or even weather conditions that might affect the game’s pace, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of a high- or low-scoring game has the potential to move the price of contracts in this market.