TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Florida State versus Miami (FL) college football game will be over 56.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 56.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch for any changes to the game schedule, as the market resolves on October 18, 2026 – the day after the originally scheduled game date of October 17, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Florida State and Miami (FL) in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds, ranging from over 36.5 points to over 78.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'over' a certain point total, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely game total.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the Florida St vs Miami game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will serve as the definitive record for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida St or Miami could significantly impact expectations for scoring. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the market, as weather often affects scoring totals. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.