TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football matchup between Florida State and Miami (FL). It focuses solely on the performance during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends on the points scored in that specific segment of the game, regardless of the overall result.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of the Florida State vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. If Miami scores more points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for Miami. If Florida State scores more points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for Florida State. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Only points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) count toward the resolution. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, which can distort the implied probabilities. This market, driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs, tends to offer more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as traders react quickly to any developments impacting the game’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the fourth quarter will be declared the winner. The official game results, as reported by a major sports news outlet, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. No further information is available regarding the resolution process beyond this general timing and verification method.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida St. or Miami (FL) would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could affect traders’ perceptions and lead to price adjustments.