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Florida St. vs Miami (FL): 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Florida St. vs Miami (FL)?

Volume:
$61,806

Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:14 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,869
N/A
N/A
$11,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,547
N/A
N/A
$9,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,809
N/A
N/A
$5,047
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,557
N/A
N/A
$3,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,536
N/A
N/A
$7,428
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,906
N/A
N/A
$5,126
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,042
N/A
N/A
$3,041
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,461
N/A
N/A
$2,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,066
N/A
N/A
$2,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami (FL) wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
$890
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the fourth quarter in an upcoming college football game. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will finish the game stronger, highlighting potential momentum shifts in the final moments.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For markets where Miami (FL) must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 4.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Miami's 4th-quarter point differential exceeds that threshold. Conversely, for markets where Florida St. must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Florida St.'s 4th-quarter point differential exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result from that resumed game. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly according to the primary conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida St vs Miami spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the fourth quarter of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $61,792. The total volume traded on this market is $61,806. This allows you to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the game’s final quarter.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring in the fourth quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that aggregates the insights of many participants.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game. The final spread will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine payouts to contract holders. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verified data.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida St. or Miami (FL) teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also move the market. Finally, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence trading activity and alter the spread.