TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL). It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during a specific segment of the game, rather than the overall result.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the second quarter of the Florida State vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Miami scores more points in that quarter, the Miami market resolves to Yes. If Florida State scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately forecast the outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side – betting on Florida St. or Miami (FL) winning the second quarter, respectively. The more traders bet on a particular outcome, the higher its contract price becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to the end of the second quarter to understand potential shifts in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star wide receiver, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, early performance in the first quarter of the game will undoubtedly be a major catalyst, as traders react to the initial momentum and adjust their positions accordingly.