TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second half of a college football game between Florida State and Miami, specifically how many points the winning team will win by during that period. Each market represents a different point margin threshold that needs to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. For markets where Miami is specified, resolution occurs if Miami wins the second half by more than the stated point margin. Conversely, for markets where Florida St. is specified, resolution occurs if Florida St. wins the second half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the second half. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly according to the stated outcomes. The markets are independent of each other, with each representing a different point differential threshold that must be surpassed for resolution to 'Yes'.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If sportsbook odds suggest a strong favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view if a significant number of traders believe the game will be closer than expected. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing opinions on injuries, weather, or other factors influencing the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Florida St vs Miami game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida St or Miami (FL) would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news or statements from coaches or players could also impact sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, as traders react to perceived information advantages or changing market conditions.