TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Florida St. vs Miami (FL): 1st Quarter Winner
kalshi

What is the result of Florida St. vs Miami (FL)?

Volume:
$34,805

Miami (FL)

 - Kalshi

Miami (FL) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 7:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (FL)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,327
N/A
N/A
$12,543
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St.

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,732
N/A
N/A
$8,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,745
N/A
N/A
$4,712
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami (FL). It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the full game outcome. The resolution depends on which team has the higher point total when the first quarter ends, or if the quarter ends in a tie.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the first quarter of the Florida State vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Miami scores more points in the first quarter, the 'Miami (FL)' market resolves to Yes. If Florida State scores more points in the first quarter, the 'Florida St.' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first quarter, resulting in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida St vs Miami 1st quarter market tracks the current price of each outcome – which team will win the first quarter. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $30,949, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which stands at $34,805. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are pricing the probability of each team winning the first quarter, offering a real-time view of market sentiment. This allows you to monitor shifts in expectations as new information becomes available.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If sportsbook odds strongly favor one team, but the prediction market shows a more even split, it could indicate disagreement about factors not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as team morale or potential injuries. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as event time approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Florida St. winning the first quarter or Miami (FL) winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely converge towards the true probability.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) football game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts to contract holders accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable process.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Florida St. or Miami (FL) would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived advantage of either team. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also sway trader sentiment. Even significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks might influence how traders adjust their positions in this market, reflecting a broader assessment of probabilities.