TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming college football game between Florida State and Miami. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will dominate the other by a specific margin of points within just the first 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of the Florida St. vs Miami (FL) college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. If Miami wins by more than the specified point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'Miami wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Florida St wins by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points), the corresponding 'Florida St wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the first quarter of the Florida St vs Miami football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result published by the governing sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida St or Miami (FL) teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and move the market.