TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Louisville will score over 41.5 points in their college football game against Florida State. Currently, the probability of Louisville exceeding this point total on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total points scored by Louisville in the Florida St. vs Louisville game, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve based on the outcome of the originally scheduled fixture on October 9, 2026, with final resolution data available by October 10, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Florida State and Louisville in their game scheduled for October 9, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate news than sportsbooks, especially regarding team injuries or unexpected developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether each team will score over or under a specific point total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Currently, the most active contracts relate to Louisville exceeding 23.5 points, indicating strong belief in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team scores from the Florida St. vs Louisville game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics published by the governing body of college football. Contracts will pay out $1.00 for each cent that the actual team score exceeds the contract’s specified total (for over contracts) or $1.00 for each cent the actual score falls short (for under contracts). Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Florida St. or Louisville would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations for scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could influence traders’ assessments and lead to price fluctuations in this market.