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$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points will be scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Florida State and Louisville. Each market has a different threshold for the total points scored by both teams combined during that period.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Florida St. vs Louisville college football game scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter, with overtime points excluded. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold being evaluated.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers. Over time, the prediction market price tends to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Florida St vs Louisville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter exceeded 12.5 or not. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the outcome and collecting from those who did not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida St or Louisville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift predictions. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can quickly alter the price and reflect changing sentiment about the likely 4th quarter total.