TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Florida St. vs Louisville college football game scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential threshold for that market during this period. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved outcomes. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation regardless of the specific point spread threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk tolerance between market participants and sportsbook operators. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to divergences from initial sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second half of the Florida St. vs Louisville game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and widely available game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida St. or Louisville teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially move the market.