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Florida St. vs Louisville: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Florida St. vs Louisville?

Volume:
$1,228,289

Louisville wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Louisville wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 8:44 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373,655
N/A
N/A
$227,587
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176,424
N/A
N/A
$83,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,010
N/A
N/A
$44,946
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,805
N/A
N/A
$45,287
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,109
N/A
N/A
$30,714
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,465
N/A
N/A
$38,910
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,954
N/A
N/A
$41,932
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62,783
N/A
N/A
$33,580
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,813
N/A
N/A
$23,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,582
N/A
N/A
$13,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida St. wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,959
N/A
N/A
$13,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,511
N/A
N/A
$12,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,822
N/A
N/A
$9,874
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,035
N/A
N/A
$5,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,556
N/A
N/A
$6,885
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,789
N/A
N/A
$4,479
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,851
N/A
N/A
$3,767
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,602
N/A
N/A
$3,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,230
N/A
N/A
$3,227
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,494
N/A
N/A
$1,443
Settled
No
kalshi

Louisville wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$839
N/A
N/A
$769
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market asks whether Florida State will win the first half of their game against Louisville by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 57.0% probability to Florida State winning the first half by over 2.5 points, with resolution determined by the point differential in the first half of the game as originally scheduled for October 9, 2026. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half, and is estimated to resolve by October 10, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Florida St. vs Louisville college football game scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold, and resolves to Yes if the winning team exceeds that threshold by more than the listed margin in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds chosen.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Florida St vs Louisville spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,217,749. The total volume traded on this market is $1,228,289. This allows users to see how confidence in different outcomes is changing and gauge market activity before the event begins.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific point spread for the first half of the Florida St vs Louisville game. Traders bid on contracts representing their belief that the actual spread will be in favor of that outcome, and ask for contracts if they believe the opposite will happen. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders on the platform.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Florida St vs Louisville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result as reported by the governing sports authority. The contract values will then be determined, paying out $100 for the winning spread and $0 for losing spreads. Traders will receive their payouts shortly after the official result is confirmed.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida St or Louisville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.