TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Florida International University (FIU) and Liberty University in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 24.5 to 66.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Over time, the prices in this market may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and public opinion solidifies, but initial discrepancies are common. It’s important to compare and contrast to understand where the market finds value relative to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different total points for the Florida International vs Liberty game. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts, predicting the total points will be *above* a certain threshold, or sell 'yes' contracts, predicting it will be *below*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Florida International vs Liberty game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be tallied, and the market will settle based on whether that total exceeds or falls below the contract thresholds available for trading. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified by sources considered authoritative for college basketball scores.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida International or Liberty teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, public betting patterns and analysis from sports commentators could further influence trading activity in this market.