TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether each team will exceed various point thresholds. The outcomes are determined by the official game results, with specific provisions for schedule changes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Florida International vs Liberty college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market, if the designated team scores strictly more than the specified threshold (e.g., over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when information asymmetry exists.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, providing transparency into trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official team totals from the Florida International vs Liberty game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics reported by the governing body of the game. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is verified. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida International or Liberty teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also be a catalyst. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks might prompt traders on Kalshi to reassess their positions and adjust their bids accordingly.