TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jacksonville State will win their college football game against Florida International by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Jacksonville State a 79.0% probability of winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Florida International vs Jacksonville St. game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of play on October 14, 2026, to determine the final point differential.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Florida International vs Jacksonville St. college football game scheduled for October 13, 2026. If Jacksonville St. wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding 'Jacksonville St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Florida International wins by exceeding the specified margin, the corresponding 'Florida International wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by new information, breaking news regarding team injuries, or shifts in public sentiment, all of which are rapidly incorporated into the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Florida International vs Jacksonville St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The precise payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Florida International or Jacksonville St. would likely cause price movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also influence the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in one direction – can shift the price, as can any major news stories impacting public perception of the teams’ chances. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.