TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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419,492
Markets across
40,634
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
The market determines which team leads after the first half of a college football game between Florida International and Jacksonville St. on October 13, 2026. If either team is ahead or if the game ends in a tie at halftime, the market resolves positively.
This market resolves based on the first half outcome of the Florida International vs Jacksonville St. college football game scheduled for October 13, 2026. If Jacksonville St. wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 1. If Florida International wins the first half, the market resolves to Yes under Rule 2. If neither team wins the first half (i.e., the half ends in a tie), the market resolves to Yes under Rule 3. All secondary rules specify that only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to price discovery driven by supply and demand. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potentially advantageous opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the first half winner. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific team will win, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the first half.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Florida International vs Jacksonville St. game. The official result will be determined by the game’s official scorekeeping and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida International or Jacksonville St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception and any major shifts in betting trends observed elsewhere could also contribute to price movements in this market.