TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether North Texas will win the college football game against Florida Atlantic by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 94.0% probability to North Texas winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the outcome of the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 30, 2026, which is the estimated resolution date.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas college football game scheduled for October 29, 2026. If North Texas wins, markets resolve to Yes only if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold; if Florida Atlantic wins, markets resolve to Yes only if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold in favor of Florida Atlantic. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the game. The difference can be influenced by factors like public perception and late-breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are not. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient assessment of the game's likely outcome, based on the information available to market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts purchased, and to 0 for contracts on the losing side of the spread. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida Atlantic or North Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, any major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could affect trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.