TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 9:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Florida Atlantic and North Texas. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas college football game scheduled for October 29, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the half by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, determined independently of the actual game outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. The market's current price reflects what traders collectively believe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Traders who believe Florida Atlantic will cover the spread buy contracts, driving the price up, while those who believe North Texas will cover sell contracts, pushing the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first half of the Florida Atlantic vs North Texas game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Florida Atlantic or North Texas would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, significant betting activity or large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate a change in market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception and analyst predictions could also play a role.