TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point margin by which either Florida Atlantic or Army will win their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scale of victory for either team.
All markets resolve based on the official final point difference from the Florida Atlantic vs Army college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning payouts are adjusted to reflect market probabilities at that time rather than a definitive win/loss outcome. The markets cover varying point margins for both possible winners, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds are dynamic and change with every trade, potentially converging with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Florida Atlantic vs Army game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Florida Atlantic vs Army game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by each contract. The final spread will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida Atlantic or Army teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents independent assessment. Finally, any major shifts in betting activity on Kalshi itself will directly influence the price of contracts.