TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of combined points that the two teams might achieve before halftime. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific half.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Florida Atlantic vs Army college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result of that game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each venue processes information and risk differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first half will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current price reflects the probability that traders assign to the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half of the Florida Atlantic vs Army football game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were above or below the market’s threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Florida Atlantic or Army would likely cause significant movement, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the scoring environment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly impact the price, especially if they signal informed conviction about the likely outcome. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations.