TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point spreads in an upcoming college football game between Florida A&M and Jackson St. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which Jackson St. or Florida A&M must win for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Florida A&M vs Jackson St. college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Jackson St. wins by exceeding the specified point threshold, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome settles; otherwise, it settles 'No'. If Florida A&M wins by more than the stated margin in its respective markets, those also settle 'Yes'. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-spread threshold being tracked.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the teams involved. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in understanding market perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Florida A&M vs Jackson State football game. The market will then settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual spread, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Florida A&M or Jackson State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. News regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even unexpected changes in player availability could all contribute to price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role in shaping the market’s perception of the likely outcome.