TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Alabama State will win their college football game against Florida A&M by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to Alabama State winning by over 2.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the game as reported by official sources. The market will resolve to Yes if Alabama State wins by more than 38.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Florida A&M vs Alabama St. college football game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If Alabama St. wins by exceeding the specified point spread, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Conversely, if Florida A&M wins by more than the stated margin, the 'Yes' outcome for that specific spread also resolves positively. Postponements are handled leniently: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves normally. If the game does not commence within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market has mispriced the probability of a particular spread occurring in the Florida A&M vs Alabama St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result of the game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations regarding the Florida A&M vs Alabama St. matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Florida A&M vs Alabama St. game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the correct spread will settle at 100, while those representing incorrect spreads will settle at 0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida A&M or Alabama St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the price of contracts to fluctuate. Public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly affect this market.