TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
UCF
- Kalshi
UCF - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:03h:20m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Florida A&M Rattlers and UCF Knights scheduled for November 3, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game, or if the game is cancelled.
This event is for the WBB game between Florida A&M Rattlers and UCF Knights on November 3 at 6:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event determines the winner of the Florida A&M vs UCF women's college basketball game scheduled for November 3, 2026. If UCF wins the game as scheduled, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Florida A&M wins the game as scheduled, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official NCAA affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks allow traders to profit from mispricings. The spread in prediction markets can sometimes be tighter, offering more competitive odds.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Trading fees and liquidity also play a role; higher fees on one platform might discourage trading, leading to wider spreads. Furthermore, differing market structures and the availability of margin or leverage can influence price discovery. The volume of trading on each platform—currently $70 overall—also impacts how quickly information is incorporated into the price. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the Florida A&M vs. UCF game.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official final score of the Florida A&M Rattlers versus the UCF Knights women’s game. The platform will utilize publicly available and widely accepted sources to verify the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed results to understand how this market will settle. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the winning outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Florida A&M or UCF teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the game location, could also impact the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news could also shift probabilities before the game takes place.