TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Yanaki Milev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Yanaki Milev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on Polymarket. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the players’ potential performance in the Florence tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation of that result. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Florence tennis match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florence tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses to understand how the resolution is likely to unfold.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Yanaki Milev or Lorenzo Giustino’s preparation or physical condition would likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, any major upsets in other related tennis tournaments could influence perceptions of the players’ form and therefore affect the odds on Polymarket leading up to the Florence tennis match.