TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Perez Contri and Sebastian Gima in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Perez Contri' if Sergi Perez Contri advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Sergi Perez Contri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Perez Contri and Sebastian Gima in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Perez Contri' if Sergi Perez Contri advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Sergi Perez Contri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different user bases and information sources, leading to varied perspectives on the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Sergi Perez Contri and Sebastian Gima. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s terms of service, but the primary determination will rely on publicly available and widely accepted results. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome to understand when this market settles.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical approaches would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments could influence perceptions of player capabilities, leading to adjustments in the odds. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Oct 25, 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.