TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Mihai Papoe and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Mihai Papoe and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Mihai Papoe' if Radu Mihai Papoe advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Radu Mihai Papoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It’s always wise to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes and identify discrepancies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and shifts in sentiment among traders. The more traders believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Florence tennis match – determining which player, Radu Mihai Papoe or Oriol Roca Batalla, wins – will be used to determine the winning share in this market. Resolution will occur promptly following the official announcement of the match result, ensuring a timely and accurate settlement for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could all significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in the tennis world, could also drive movement. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, influencing trader behavior and ultimately affecting the price of shares.