TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Michele Ribecai in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Michele Ribecai. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Michele Ribecai in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Michele Ribecai. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of many individuals. However, initial sportsbook odds often influence the starting price of this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information or risk appetite between prediction market participants and sportsbook customers. It’s always valuable to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, reflecting a growing belief in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each player winning the Florence tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Florence tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Michele Ribecai will determine the resolution. The official results published by the tournament organizers will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the actual result of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the Florence tennis match approaches.