TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Dimitris Sakellaridis in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Dimitris Sakellaridis. This market will resolve to 'Dimitris Sakellaridis' if Dimitris Sakellaridis advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining the difference between these odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where they disagree with the sportsbook’s assessment of the likely winner of the Florence tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market for the Florence tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Florence tennis match between Oriol Roca Batalla and Dimitris Sakellaridis, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reflected in the market’s settlement process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Florence event might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, although this market reflects the views of traders on Polymarket specifically, rather than broader public forecasts.