TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Samuele Pieri in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Samuele Pieri in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Miguel Damas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may be influenced by varying factors, such as public perception and expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Damas vs Pieri match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or unexpected announcements about the match conditions could shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, expert analysis, updated rankings, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the price of shares. Unexpected weather conditions or any controversies surrounding the players involved could also lead to substantial movements in this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.