TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 7:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Filippo Romano in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Filippo Romano in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between this market and traditional sportsbook odds, as there isn’t significant overlap in offerings for this specific election. Sportsbooks often focus on more widely publicized races, and their odds reflect different factors, such as public betting patterns and house margins. Prediction markets, like this one, aim to reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders and can sometimes offer a more nuanced view of potential outcomes. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities in Florence. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election results will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major endorsements from influential political figures, shifts in public opinion revealed by polling data, and any significant campaign events or debates could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the candidates, such as policy announcements or controversies, could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, any changes in the political landscape of Florence or Italy could influence how traders assess the probabilities of each candidate winning this election.