TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Gabriele Pennaforti. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Pennaforti' if Gabriele Pennaforti advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Gabriele Pennaforti. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Pennaforti' if Gabriele Pennaforti advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news and updates related to the Florence tennis match, adjusting their positions and influencing the price. This dynamic process determines the odds displayed on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Florence tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact expectations. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts or changes in betting odds at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to adjust their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Florence tennis match has the potential to move the market.