TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Filippo Romano in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Filippo Romano in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Filippo Romano. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perspectives on the Florence tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Florence tennis match, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the governing tennis body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or even shifts in expert analysis could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from the players themselves, could also influence trading activity. Strong performance by either player in practice matches leading up to the event, or a significant upset in another match, could shift market sentiment and alter the probabilities associated with each outcome.