TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Searle and Matthew William Donald in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Henry Searle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry Searle and Matthew William Donald in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Henry Searle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unforeseen developments related to the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific result in the Searle vs Donald match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Searle vs Donald match, as declared by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trustworthy sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The market’s resolution process is designed to be objective and based on verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their training regimes could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or court surface changes, could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering strong opinions on the likely outcome might also sway traders. Finally, large-volume trades on Polymarket by informed participants could create momentum and drive price movements.