TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Agamenone and Max Houkes in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Max Houkes. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Franco Agamenone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Agamenone and Max Houkes in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Max Houkes. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Franco Agamenone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and reflect the latest sentiment among traders. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Franco Agamenone versus Max Houkes match. Any official result announced by the governing body of the tennis tournament will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – can quickly move the market, reflecting a change in collective belief. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume are key to understanding potential movements in this market.