TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Michele Ribecai in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Michele Ribecai. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Michele Ribecai in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Michele Ribecai. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely winner, or differing assessments of the players' form. Examining these differences can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Misolic vs Ribecai match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match date, the more sensitive the price becomes to new information and shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows for a continuously updated assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Misolic vs Ribecai match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 30, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting markets or expert analysis, might lead to adjustments in the price of shares as traders react to new information and reassess their predictions.