TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Ribecai/Volpi and Recek/Siniakov in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ribecai/Volpi' if the team of Ribecai/Volpi advances against Recek/Siniakov. This market will resolve to 'Recek/Siniakov' if the team of Recek/Siniakov advances against Ribecai/Volpi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Ribecai/Volpi and Recek/Siniakov in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ribecai/Volpi' if the team of Ribecai/Volpi advances against Recek/Siniakov. This market will resolve to 'Recek/Siniakov' if the team of Recek/Siniakov advances against Ribecai/Volpi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than traditional sportsbooks, as it's driven by continuous trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and trader sentiment surrounding the Florence doubles match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Florence doubles match between Ribecai/Volpi and Recek/Siniakov. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available information from official tournament sources. The outcome will be determined by which team advances further in the tournament or wins the match outright, as determined by the official tournament results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the tournament location, if significant, might also play a role. Furthermore, any public statements from players or coaches, or analysis from tennis experts, could impact the perceived probabilities. Overall match form and head-to-head records will be closely watched as the event approaches, potentially causing fluctuations in trading volume and price.