TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Sandro Kopp in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Marti Pujolras' if Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Sandro Kopp. This market will resolve to 'Sandro Kopp' if Sandro Kopp advances against Alex Marti Pujolras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Sandro Kopp in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Marti Pujolras' if Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Sandro Kopp. This market will resolve to 'Sandro Kopp' if Sandro Kopp advances against Alex Marti Pujolras. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction market probabilities shift based on news or analysis, sometimes leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marti Pujolras vs Kopp match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in expert analysis or social media discussions, can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also influence traders’ perceptions and lead to adjustments in this market.