TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional women's soccer match in France's top league. The game will determine which team secures a victory in regular time, with a separate outcome for a tied result. Market resolutions depend strictly on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fleury vs Toulouse professional French Women's Première Ligue soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A victory for either Fleury or Toulouse will resolve the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among bettors, or simply the dynamic nature of public opinion. It's useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. As more traders participate, the prices tend to converge towards a fair value, representing the aggregated beliefs of those involved. The current price indicates what it costs to hold a contract that pays out if the specified outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fleury vs Toulouse match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The specific details of the outcome will be determined by the final score or result declared by the governing body overseeing the competition. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events may influence overall betting patterns. Public opinion and media coverage can also play a role, as increased attention can drive more trading activity and potentially alter the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.